Trying to bail out the existing system
The American Congress has just rejected a $700bn rescue package formulated by George Bush and his Treasury Secretary, Henry Paulson.
Lines between Republicans and Democrats have been blurred completely during this time of crisis: Bush (a Republican) had the support of most Democrats in the House of Representatives (the lower house of Congress - similar to the House of Commons in the UK) but the majority of Republicans (along with a few isolated Democrats) voted to block the bill. The result is that markets have dropped even further, and lots of banks all across the world have been failing, requiring further bail-outs from national governments (in the UK, Bradford and Bingley has just been taken into public ownership).
But what was actually proposed in the US rescue package, and why might it have helped prop up the rapidly collapsing financial system?
In the last couple of months, hundreds of billions of dollars have been injected into financial markets by governments and central banks around the world. To take one example of many, the Federal Reserve (headed up by Ben Bernanke) in America lent the world’s biggest insurance company (and sponsors of Manchester United), AIG, a massive $85 billion dollars. The idea with loans like this is that they bail out companies who then somehow sort out all of the bad debt themselves (even though at the root of it are a load of poor people who are blatantly never going to pay their mortgages) before paying back the Government or central bank at some undefined point in the future.
The difference with the $700bn package proposed by Bush and Paulson is that unlike with the previous loans, it would have actually bought the bad loans from the banks. The American government would have owned all of the ‘toxic’ liabilities related to the sub-prime mortgage crisis, the hope being that without them in the system, the banks would sort things out and start lending to each other again. In other words, there would be way more liquidity in the market because of decreasing paranoia about who was trying to get rid of bad debts that had very little chance of being paid back.
The problem with the proposed solution (and perhaps one of the reasons that Republicans have blocked it) is that it doesn’t address the cause of the problem. It doesn’t ask why these debts were created in the first place, and it certainly doesn’t give any guarantee that it won’t happen again. The sole thing it would have done is inject confidence into an already flawed system. Jon Stewart puts it well:

Nov 1st 2008
Hello!
You know the rescue package/bail out thing that Gordon organised? Are you glad he did it? Obvioulsly realistically, there was no way he wouldn’t but there’s is a part of me that wishes he hadn’t and we’d let all fall down. I was just wondering if you would have been happier with that, even though it would mean a massive economic crash, and many lives ruined life savings lost, huge fall in living standards etc, I just can’t see the radical change we need happening any other way. I’m not sure this global crisis is gunna turn out that massive in the end, not in terms of changing the way people live their lives, or the way we run the country, ok people might not run the heating for a while and job hunting will be harder but having a global recession doesn’t change the world. Nothing has changed, nothing is changing, look at the story about the continued massive bonus payments for RBS staff, even after the bail out (yeah I know, it’s to stop em going elsewhere) Can you really imagine something radical happenning without it?
I feel quite bleak about it the hope for change. So yeah, feel free to point out why my poorly informed point of view doesn’t make any sense, and why I should stop wishing financial ruin upon us all.
On a slightly different and more uplifting topic I went to a British Geological Survey on Carbon Capture and Storage talk last night, it was was by a man called Nick Reily who co-ordinates all Europe’s research on it. I went cos I was sceptical about the idea that technology could save us but it seems they are actually quite close to perfecting it. Basically CO2 would go directly from power staions into the sea, obviously under great pressure. It takes energy to do it, so the overall balance would be about 70-80% gain with the state of technology at the moment. There is a site ready to take in 5megetones a year (drax is our largest producing pwer station and it puts out 20 megatonnes a year) and even more impressively China may have a project up and running before we do!! They only found out it exisisted about 3 years ago!!
Any thoughts? Good news? Or bad news as we’ll continue to believe we can rely on fossil fuels and living unsustainably?