The Economist tackles the green new deal
The Economist magazine recently wrote an article criticising plans for a Green New Deal. It makes some good points, but in general I found its treatment of the subject quite superficial, so I wanted to write something here in response.
Firstly, it claims that subsidising renewable energy would be a bad idea, citing the example of biofuels. It’s fair to say that US Government subsidies for the biofuel industry have been a complete catastrophe. Howefver, the article doesn’t address the point that the oil and gas industries have been subsidised for decades, and this has been incredibly effective in bolstering the productivity of those sectors; it’s rash to dismiss the same potential effect for a clean energy sector.
The claim that the wrong technology choices could be made by government by introducing subsidies is not very well thought-through, and makes huge assumptions about the nature of the subsidies that may be introduced. For example, in the oil industry, money is provided to enable oil exploration; the Government doesn’t tell the companies exactly where it has to go and drill immediately. Similarly, in the renewables sector, money could be provided to fund research to reach a certain level of carbon efficiency, rather than prescribe exactly which technologies should be manufactured.
Another assumption the article makes is that by subsidising renewable energy, big polluters would not be penalised. There’s no evidence to suggest that a hybrid policy won’t be employed by Obama (similar to the policy suggestions made by Oliver Tickell in Kyoto2). The article references Europe’s cap-and-trade markets as a ‘better’ way to deal with carbon reduction than a green new deal. Even though the EU trading scheme has massive shortcomings, that is beside the point: Obama has not declared that Government spending on renewables will replace a trading scheme, and in fact has stated that there will be a cap-and-trade system put in place.
Given the lack of substance on all of Obama’s policies (not just in relation to energy/climate change), a more apt leading article would have been “Green new deal policies need more substance”. The policy mix that will confront carbon and economic problems won’t be simple, but criticising the entire notion of a green new deal because of its over-simplicity is incredibly premature.
The point about explicitly naming a set of policies that can deal with climate change and the economy a ‘green new deal’ is not to pronounce that we’ve found a magic bullet, but is simply to communicate the issues in terms that will allow a groundswell of opinion to build relevant ideas. The Economist plays a good part in moving debates forward and constructively criticising ideas, but in this case it has simply dismissed the beginning of a discussion before it has had a chance to get started.

Nov 17th 2008
Thanks for referencing Kyoto2, and yes, what I propose does indeed resemble Obama’s plan in terms of recycling revenues from the sale of emission permits / allowances into global warming solutions, and most specifically in this case renewable energy. Keynes argued that in a recession governments could beneficially spend money on completely useless activity that generated employment. But how much better to spend it on genuine investments for the future that can boost the economy in the future and add to human wellbeing? So that as government debt rises to pay for the ‘economic stimulus’, there is a corresponding credit on the national balance sheet that hopefully outweighs the debt. Renewable energy is precisely such a case - where sufficient government expenditure on RDD (research development deployment) can bring the cost down to the point where it is cheaper than fossil fuel energy, producing a huge long term benefit in economic terms (from cheap clean energy not at the mercy of oil exporters and declining production rates) and human wellbeing. This has to be the way to go!